E 'since Silvio Berlusconi presented his new party that I wonder what lies behind such a move so reckless as to seem stupid. I will not dwell in the explanation of my statement, the previous post as well as various comments left lying around in various blogs, have been made "popular".
you outlined, now, a schedule of future state, where the move made by Berlusconi takes on a whole new meaning.
you remember earlier this year (March), when the government fell? Since then think anyone longer believe early elections without first being made a new electoral law: we assist governments in technical government reshuffle etc but we can also forget about the elections there.
Good. Let's take for granted that no election law does not return to the polls. What drives
Berlusconi to have founded a new party, perfect for the party of the right but without followers? And what prompted him to accelerate to an electoral law by agreement with the PD? Suppose that the neo
Party of Freedom (PDL) to propose a law Veltroni has a large majority of the premium for the majority (or, in the second case, a coalition).
would be very difficult by the PD, refuse: after all account the latest policies for the PD was recorded a total of 31.27% while the "only" FI a "paltry" 23.72% ( link).
admit that Veltroni agrees ("but no!":)). And if that happen, just days after voting law magically reappear the calm between the PDL and AN, it re-ally (or, in the extreme, bottom) and go along with the election? Then you could, in theory, will have at least a 23.72 +12.34 = 36% ... which should be added to the votes of the league .... But leaving aside the party of Bossi and Maroni.
What could the PD? .... In the middle would not have an easy life: attached DiPietro is hard to think you can Mastella resubmit in the next election ... or Dini! And it could not even go to the left, since it would not be easy to explain why a merger of two parties, one of them distinctly moderate start off on a tangent to the extreme wing.
The situation would not be very different even for the UDC of Casini: in the center would not have much to gain, in fact, defeat would occur at the start ( not forget that we are talking about a 36% ) would not have nothing to do not "return to the fold
" in the ranks of the right with very little political weight. At best, the PD could ally themselves (if they did not go to the left) coming to equalize ... omitting the last elections were a account, other and far more would be moved to the right the next. Nothing will be done even in this case.
And do not forget, there is always that the League would be happy to come back to the government while some "Federal sop."
Marco Paperini
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